The battlegrounds of Florida and Ohio have been called for President Trump, two states that analysts believe he must carry to reach 270 Electoral College votes.
Along with the Sunshine State, which has 29 electoral votes, the New York Times' "needle" is tracking two other states in the South that Trump must carry to have a good shot at winning the election, Georgia and North Carolina.
In Georgia, with a 1.1-point lead and 74% of the vote reported, the Times gives Trump an 76% chance of winning the state.
In North Carolina, with 95% of the votes counted, Trump is estimated to have a 1.2-point lead and a 86% chance of winning.
The Times' analysis concludes that if Biden were to win all three states, a "blowout" Biden win is likely. If Trump loses one of the states, Trump would need the Midwest states to keep his chances alive. If the president carries all three, which is now the Times' "best guess," either candidate could win and the outcome may not be known on Election Day.
But Trump is performing well in Pennsylvania, where he leads by nearly more than 14 points with 59% of the vote counted. And he's ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin.
The battleground of Iowa has been called for Trump, where, with 97% of the vote reported, he has a 7-point lead.
'Who knew?'
Prior to Election Day, establishment media predicted a landslide for Biden, with The Economist estimating the president's chance of winning was 3% and Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight giving him a 10% chance.
At about 12:45 a.m., Biden went to a stage in a parking lot in his hometown of Wilmington, Delaware, to speak to supporters.
"You're patience is commendable," he said. "We knew this was going to go long, but who knew we were going to go maybe into tomorrow morning, maybe even longer?"
Biden said he believes he's on track to win.
"We knew because of the unprecedented early mail-in vote that it was going to take a while," he said. "And it ain't over until every vote, every ballot is counted."
He said his campaign is "feeling good" about Michigan and Wisconsin, and thinks it will win Pennsylvania.
.@JoeBiden supporters honk as he addresses the crowd early Wednesday:
"We feel good about where we are. We really do. I'm here to tell you tonight we believe we're on track to win this election." pic.twitter.com/QhuRN84t34
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) November 4, 2020
Trump, who is expected to speak as well, weighed in on Twitter.
"We are up BIG, but they are trying to STEAL the Election," he wrote. "We will never let them do it. Votes cannot be cast after the Polls are closed!"
Twitter immediately slapped a warning on the tweet, saying, "Some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is disputed and might be misleading about an election or other civic process."
.@JoeBiden supporters honk as he addresses the crowd early Wednesday:
"We feel good about where we are. We really do. I'm here to tell you tonight we believe we're on track to win this election." pic.twitter.com/QhuRN84t34
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) November 4, 2020
.@JoeBiden supporters honk as he addresses the crowd early Wednesday:
"We feel good about where we are. We really do. I'm here to tell you tonight we believe we're on track to win this election." pic.twitter.com/QhuRN84t34
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) November 4, 2020
Roll call
Trump has won Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina and four of Nebraska's five votes, giving him 210 total votes.
Biden has won California, Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Illinois, Virginia, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Columbia and three of Maine's four votes, giving the former vice president 227 total votes.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania, it could indicate how well he will do in Michigan and Wisconsin. Flipping the three states in 2016 from Democrat to Republican was the key to his victory over Hillary Clinton.
In Wisconsin, with 76% reporting, Trump leads 51.7% to 46.7%.
In Michigan, with 54% reporting, the president leads 54.4% to 43.4%.
But Bloomberg reporter Saleha Mohsin said election officials in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania say they won't announce a winner tonight.
Wisconsin says there's no way they are announcing a winner tonight
Michigan needs until Friday
Pennsylvania isn't coming out anytime soon, either
Per officials in those states
— Saleha Mohsin (@SalehaMohsin) November 4, 2020
The Biden campaign believed Texas was in play, and both campaigns regarded Arizona as competitive. Trump won both states in 2016.
In Texas, with 79% reporting, Trump leads 52% to 46.5%.
Biden leads in Arizona, with 75% reporting, 53.2% to 45.5%.
Fox News has called Arizona for Biden, but the White House is contesting the decision, arguing votes are still out in counties where Trump is expected to perform well.
Going into Election Day, the Trump campaign believed it had a shot at Minnesota and Nevada, two states it narrowly lost in 2016.
Biden, with 74% reporting, has a 10-point lead in Minnesota.
The post Trump wins Florida, Ohio; Biden takes Arizona appeared first on WND.
