President Trump appears to be headed for victory in Florida, a state that analysts believe he must carry to reach 270 Electoral College votes.
With 90% of the vote counted, the New York Times estimates Trump, with a 3-point lead, has a greater than 95% chance of winning.
The Times' "needle" is tracking two other states in the South that Trump must carry to have a good shot at winning the election, Georgia and North Carolina.
In Georgia, with a 5-point lead, the Times gives Trump an 87% chance of winning the state.
In North Carolina, with 62% of the votes counted, Trump is estimated to have a 0.8% lead and a 63% chance of winning.
The Times analysis concludes that if Biden were to win all three states, a "blowout" Biden win is likely. If Trump loses one of the states, Trump would need the Midwest states to keep his chances alive.
If he wins all three, which is now the Times "best guess," either candidate could win and the outcome may not be known on Election Day.
The key state of Pennsylvania, a Trump focus in the last week of campaigning, has not been called.
Fox News has called Oklahoma, Missouri, Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama for Trump, giving him 56 votes.
Biden, according to the Fox News team, has won Illinois, Virginia, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and the District of Columbia, giving the former vice president 91 votes.
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